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2018 Election

  1. 2018 Senate Overview: The Pro-GOP Landscape Is Turning BlueTrump’s unpopularity, strong Democratic incumbents, and some luck are benefiting the party that would’ve expected to lose badly in 2018 Senate races.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. What’s at Play in the 2018 Senate RacesA dynamic monthly breakdown of the 13 most competitive seats.
    By Jordan Larson and Matt Stieb
  3. Tide of Right-Wing Judges Could Recede Quickly If Democrats Take Back the SenateThe GOP’s Alabama fiasco and a 2018 wave election could bring back a Democratic Senate and ruin the right’s plan to control the judiciary.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. Tracking the Most Competitive House Races in the 2018 MidtermsA dynamic, monthly breakdown of the most competitive districts
    By Jordan Larson and Matt Stieb
  5. How the Democrats Can Make Inroads in the SouthThe landscape is tough, but demographic change, voter-registration efforts, and a little luck could go a long way toward reviving southern Democrats.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. Tuesday’s Crushing Defeat Convinces Republicans They’re on the Right TrackIt’s one thing to stay the course despite electoral setbacks. It’s more dangerous to pretend electoral setbacks are actually mandates.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. One Year After Trump’s Victory, the Democrats Aren’t in DisarrayThe first 12 months of the Trump presidency have been better for Democrats than most would have ever imagined.
    By Eric Levitz
  8. Trump and the GOP Are Running Against President Hillary ClintonNormally midterms are a referendum on the president. This president wants the focus to be on his vanquished 2016 opponent.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. Pelosi Wants Democrats to Talk Economics, Not ImpeachmentThe speaker thinks her party should focus on making an affirmative case for its agenda — and let Trump destroy himself.
    By Eric Levitz
  10. No, the Extremist Fever in the GOP Is Not BreakingBoth Barack Obama and Jeff Flake have described extremism in the GOP as a “fever.” With Trump in charge, it’s now stronger than ever.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. Democratic Challengers to House GOP Incumbents Raising Some Serious DoughIt’s one of many straws in the wind for 2018, but an awful lot of House GOP incumbents are drawing opponents who are raising money. Some will retire.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. Sanders to Run in Vermont As an Independent (for the 16th Time)Some see another Sanders indie reelection run as a signal of his presidential intentions for 2020. Could just be inertia.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. Dems Gain Momentum to Take Back House Next YearIt’s still a heavy lift, but things are looking promising.
    By Benjamin Hart
  14. No One Should Rule Out a Trump Reelection in 2020As in 2016, Trump’s most important asset in 2020 could be a surprisingly vulnerable Democratic opponent.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. GOP Retirements May Determine Whether Democrats Take Back the House in 2018There are many things Democrats need to take back the House next year. One they don’t yet have is abundant GOP retirements.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. Report: Mitt Romney Considering Senate Run in UtahIf Orrin Hatch retires, he’d have a good shot of winning.
    By Benjamin Hart
  17. Senators From Parties That Don’t Control White House Do Very Well in MidtermsHistory shows the party in the White House struggles to knock off incumbent senators in midterms. It’s one of many cross-cutting factors for 2018.
    By Ed Kilgore
  18. The Trump-McConnell Feud Becoming a ‘Cold War’At the worst possible time, relations between the president and the leader of his party in the Senate have become frosty, distant, and even combative.
    By Ed Kilgore
  19. Trump Could Bust Loose Again at Phoenix RallyIt would be natural for the president to follow up on controlled remarks about Afghanistan with an uninhibited base-feeding frenzy the next night.
    By Ed Kilgore
  20. It’s Too Early for Democrats to Freak Out Over FundraisingWhile the DNC is struggling to keep up with the RNC in fundraising, other sources of campaign financing are more balanced, and it’s very early yet.
    By Ed Kilgore
  21. Democrat Wins Iowa State Legislative Special Election in District Trump SweptIt may be just a small straw in the wind, but a Democrat won in one of those midwestern small town districts Trump won, despite GOP culture-war ads.
    By Ed Kilgore
  22. Republicans Are Playing With a Stacked Deck in the SenateThe GOP’s advantage in dominating small states is giving it a permanent advantage in controlling the U.S. Senate, even in “bad” years for the party.
    By Ed Kilgore
  23. The Mess in Washington Could Soon Drive Republicans Into Rebellion Against TrumpIf the prospects of vulnerable 2018 GOP candidates get much worse, and the chaos in D.C. doesn’t improve, an anti-Trump rebellion is a possibility.
    By Ed Kilgore
  24. Surge in House Democratic Candidates Could Fuel a 2018 Wave ElectionIt’s too early to tell whether Democrats have a real shot at winning back the House next year, but a big jump in candidates running is a good sign.
    By Ed Kilgore
  25. Texas ‘Bathroom Bill’ a Product of GOP Right-Wing CompetitionWhy would Texas rush into the kind of “bathroom bill” controversy that was so damaging to North Carolina? It’s about Gregg Abbott’s political future.
    By Ed Kilgore
  26. Trump-Russia Scandal Could Be Trouble for ‘Putin’s Favorite Congressman’Most GOP congressmen are keeping their distance from the Trump family’s Russia scandal. That’s not an option for California’s Dana Rohrabacher.
    By Ed Kilgore
  27. There Aren’t Very Many Democratic Governors. That Could Change in 2018.With a lot of term-limited governors, the landscape for 2018 is unclear. But with more targets and a midterm breeze, Democrats should do better.
    By Ed Kilgore
  28. Things Are Looking Up for Democratic Senators in Trump CountrySix Senate Democrats running for reelection in states easily carried by Trump last year are benefitting from strong popularity and GOP fecklessness.
    By Ed Kilgore
  29. Could There Ever Be a ‘Do-Over’ in a Rigged U.S. Presidential Election?A vote crucially affected by, say, foreign interference might be an injury without an obvious Constitutional remedy.
    By Ed Kilgore
  30. The Next Multi-Million-Dollar Special Election Is in SeattleMoney and partisan passions are pouring into a special-election contest in Washington that will determine control of the state Senate.
    By Ed Kilgore
  31. After Ossoff Defeat, Georgia Democrats Are Looking for Some AnswersShould Democrats in places like Georgia keep trying to rebuild white support? Or should they focus on minority mobilization? The debate goes on.
    By Ed Kilgore
  32. GOP to Make Media-Bashing a Big Thing in 2018It makes sense for Republicans to try to mobilize their pro-Trump base with attacks on the press. But they may be tempted to take it too far.
    By Ed Kilgore
  33. Federal Agencies Turn Deaf Ears on Information Requests From Dems in CongressAt a time when the GOP is less than eager to look into Trump controversies, Democrats won’t get agency help in conducting their own inquiries.
    By Ed Kilgore
  34. Keeping Trump’s Base Voters Happy Won’t Be Enough for GOP in 2018For a president this polarizing, his party had best look beyond his core supporters if they don’t want to lose the House.
    By Ed Kilgore
  35. California Democrats Aren’t As Crazy As They SoundAfter a confab marked by a disputed chair election, protests, and obscene chants, it’s easy to overestimate the party’s problems.
    By Ed Kilgore
  36. Paul Ryan Scoffs at Prospects of Losing His Gavel in 2018Signs are growing that House Republicans, including some very senior members, could be in trouble next year.
    By Ed Kilgore
  37. Chaos in Washington Dimming Prospects for GOP Tax CutsCongress was already running out of time to enact tax reform this year. Now all hell has broken loose, and Wall Street isn’t thrilled.
    By Ed Kilgore
  38. Is That a Democratic Tsunami Taking Shape for 2018?More and more signs are cropping up suggesting a historic beatdown of the GOP in the next midterm election.
    By Ed Kilgore
  39. The Complicated Politics of Impeachment Are Coming Into Play in Trump’s D.C.If the president’s “Russia problem” persists, Republicans will have to decide whether they really want him heading up their ticket.
    By Ed Kilgore
  40. Democrats’ 2018 Millennial Turnout ChallengeIn 2018 Democrats can take advantage of millennial antipathy toward Donald Trump. But first they must address millennial antipathy toward voting.
    By Ed Kilgore
  41. Trumpcare Could Help Build a House Democratic Wave for 2018Whatever else it means, passage of Trumpcare spells trouble for the House Republicans — especially Californians — in tough districts who voted for it.
    By Ed Kilgore
  42. Here’s Another Good Omen for Democrats in 2018Usually the House minority party isn’t popular this early in a midterm cycle. But the Dems are now.
    By Ed Kilgore
  43. Trump Far From Doomed in 2020New polling suggests the president may not need to be all that popular to eke out a reelection victory.
    By Ed Kilgore
  44. bob casey
    Maybe Senate Democrats Aren’t in Such Bad Shape for 2018With a horrific electoral landscape, it was thought Democrats would lose Senate seats even if they did well in the House. But things are looking up.
    By Ed Kilgore
  45. Red-State Democratic Senators Don’t Seem Scared to Act Like DemocratsA potential Gorsuch filibuster will be a key test. But early indications are that few are breaking party ranks.
    By Ed Kilgore
  46. Why There Probably Won’t Be a ‘Tea Party of the Left’Progressives rightly want to keep Democrats from working with Trump. But primary challenges in red states aren’t a promising strategy.
    By Ed Kilgore
  47. There Are 7 Senate Races That Could Go Either WayThe Senate landscape is so crowded with close races that the outcome could range from the status quo to a 53-47 Democratic edge.
    By Ed Kilgore
  48. Curt Schilling Should Definitely Run for Elizabeth Warren’s Senate SeatAll-star pitcher and reactionary wing nut Curt Schilling plans to run for the Senate in 2018. That is an extremely good plan.
    By Eric Levitz