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2024 Presidential Elections

  1. early and often
    No title provided
    Polling Errors Won’t Necessarily Help Trump This TimeKamala Harris could benefit just as easily, as Nate Silver and Steven Kornacki recently pointed out.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. early and often
    Joe Biden’s Most Important Power BaseWhy the president cares more about the support of black voters and their representatives than pundits and editorial boards.
    By Errol Louis
  3. early and often
    U.S.-NEW YORK-PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY
    Polls Aside, New Research Shows the Parties Are DeadlockedLong-term trends show Democrats and Republican in constant balance with some exchanges of supporters and more polarization.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. vision 2024
    The Alarming Calm of the Biden CampaignThe campaign to reelect the extremely old man dragged down by inflation and war and trailing his criminally indicted opponent is going great.
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  5. early and often
    Republican Debate Rules Are a Dysfunctional MessFrom vague polling criteria to dumb donor thresholds to an unenforceable loyalty pledge, this is no way to set up a debate.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. on with kara swisher
    Chris Christie Says He Was ‘Honest’ When Questioned in Case Against TrumpKara Swisher talks to the former governor and GOP presidential candidate about Trump’s legal peril and the likelihood of him going to jail.
    By Intelligencer Staff
  7. life after roe
    Is the Anti-Abortion Movement Sitting Out the GOP Primary?After Marjorie Dannenfelser accepted disrespect from Nikki Haley and Donald Trump, you have to wonder if her group is playing a longer game.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. early and often
    Polls: To Know Mike Pence Is to Not Love HimSome aspiring 2024 candidates have room to improve once voters get to know them. Polls show that Pence is very well-known but not well-liked.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. early and often
    Trump Plots to Shut Down 2024 Rivals in South CarolinaA January 28 event in the early primary state is meant to intimidate Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, and Ron DeSantis. But it could show Trump’s weakness.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. early and often
    Have Conservative Evangelicals Turned Their Backs on Trump?A lot of pious MAGA supporters were using Trump just like he used them. And in Ron DeSantis, they have a savage new culture warrior.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. early and often
    Donald Trump’s 2024 GOP Challengers Need to Jump in SoonWith Iowa’s caucuses less than a year away, Republican presidential contenders will probably declare in the next few months.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. early and often
    Why Democrats Upended Their Primary CalendarThe old Iowa–New Hampshire duopoly is history.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. politics
    Bernie Sanders Camp Eyes Ro Khanna 2024 Bid If Biden Doesn’t RunBiden says he’ll seek a second term, but key progressives are encouraging Representative Ro Khanna to prepare for a presidential run just in case.
    By Ed Kilgore