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Betting Markets

screen time Oct. 29, 2024

Polymarket Loves Trump. But Is It Just About the Vibes?Users on prediction markets are piling money into bets on Trump. They also can’t stop arguing with one another.

By John Herrman
the money game Oct. 18, 2024

4 Theories Why Trump Is Winning Big in the Betting Markets“They’re convincing themselves this is real.”

By Kevin T. Dugan
wall street Jan. 23, 2017

For Wall Streeters Who Bet Long on Trump, It’s Bonus TimeAfter getting behind their very unlikely candidate, a few financiers are salivating over the dividends.

By Jessica Pressler
Oct. 10, 2016

Polls Suggest Clinton Won the Second Debate. Trump Just Beat the Spread.Early metrics show that Trump beat expectations, but he didn’t beat Clinton.

By Eric Levitz
Sept. 27, 2016

Hillary Clinton Won the First Debate by Every MetricPolls, focus groups, headlines, betting markets — and movements in the stock market — all point to a Clinton victory.

By Eric Levitz