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John James

  1. poll position
    There’s an Outlier Poll for Whatever You Want to Hear Right NowPolling averages in presidential and Senate races are fairly stable, but you can cherry-pick surveys going in all sorts of directions.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. poll position
    COVID Resurgence May Keep Trump From Closing the Gap With BidenAs Trump urges voters to stop dwelling on his handling of the pandemic, COVID-19 is making an attention-grabbing comeback, especially in the Midwest.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. poll position
    Where Trump and the GOP Need Immediate Gains to Win on Election DayIt’s getting late in the day for a Republican surge, and the trouble for Trump and his party is that they trail over a large landscape.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. poll position
    Two Republicans Could Blow Up Democrats’ Shot at the SenateHow the GOP may just pull off flipping seats in states as different as Alabama and Michigan.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. poll position
    It’s Harder Than it Looks for Democrats to Win the SenateRecent polls show many newly competitive Democratic Senate candidates, but they could still fall short of a majority even if Biden wins.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. poll position
    New State Polls Show Biden Landslide and Narrow Trump Win Are Both PossibleBiden’s national lead is steady, but a shift of a few points in either direction could produce a big shift in Electoral votes.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. Trump’s Push In Michigan’s Primaries Could Haunt the GOP This FallTrump’s intervention has skewed the Michigan GOP Senate and gubernatorial primaries toward his favorites, but November’s another matter.
    By Ed Kilgore