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Presidential Approval Rating

  1. politics
    Biden’s Approval Ratings Slip Below 50 Percent for the First TimeHis worst is still better than Trump’s best, but for a president trying to defy the odds and retain Congress in the midterms, it’s not great.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. 2022 midterms
    Why 2022 Won’t Be Another 1994 Republican Tidal WaveLindsey Graham’s prediction of an impending red wave ignores several key factors behind the GOP’s historic gains in Bill Clinton’s first midterm.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. politics
    Is Presidential Popularity Now All About Partisanship?Biden’s job-approval ratings are even steadier than Trump’s, suggesting a president’s party may be more important than his actions. It’s a scary idea.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. 2022 midterms
    The 2022 Midterms Could Be Another Referendum on TrumpBiden and Democrats would normally struggle to hold on to Congress in 2022. But Trump sticking around could change the dynamics.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. vision 2020
    How Trump Failed to Make This a ‘Choice’ ElectionCOVID-19 and Joe Biden’s nomination screwed up Trump’s original campaign strategy, and he never adjusted.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. vision 2020
    Could an Economic Rebound Sweep Trump to Victory?A “V-shaped recession” with a sharp recovery might place voters in a good mood in November. But perceptions of Trump may be unshakable.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. vision 2020
    The Scary Proposition That Trump Is Gradually Becoming More PopularYes, Trump is fairly close to his highest job approval numbers, but there’s no real evidence he’s about to bust through his ceiling.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. vision 2020
    Trump Is Achieving Peak PolarizationYou either love him or hate him, and fact that the in-between is vanishing carries implications for 2020.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. donald trump
    No, Obsessive Media Coverage of the Economy Wouldn’t Make Trump PopularA public opinion analyst explains that it’s not all about the economy, and media has to cover Trump’s non-economic antics anyway.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. The Democrats Really Can Win the House in 2018There’s a long way to go, but Trump’s approval ratings, the generic ballot, and the 2017 results all point to huge blue gains.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. Here’s Another Good Omen for Democrats in 2018Usually the House minority party isn’t popular this early in a midterm cycle. But the Dems are now.
    By Ed Kilgore