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Realclearpolitics

vision 2020 May 9, 2019

Is Trump Suddenly Becoming More Popular?The president hit his highest job-approval ratings in more than two years. Here’s what it means.

By Ed Kilgore
2018 midterms Oct. 21, 2018

11 Tight Governor’s Races Will Shape America’s Political LandscapeDemocrats will probably make overall gains, but there are an amazing eleven gubernatorial elections that are tossups.

By Ed Kilgore
July 10, 2018

How to Interpret 2018 Polls Without Fooling YourselfThe first rule: “Don’t believe the hype.” The other rules are almost as simple.

By Ed Kilgore
June 7, 2018

The Polls Are Swinging to the Democrats AgainThe 2018 Democratic wave: Now you see it, now you don’t, now you see it again.

By Ed Kilgore
Apr. 7, 2018

Trump Thinks He’s Wildly PopularIn Trump’s world, any adverse information about his standing is “fake,” and even positive polls don’t capture his tremendous standing.

By Ed Kilgore
Feb. 8, 2018

The Coming Democratic Wave May Be Smaller Than ExpectedThere are good signs for Republicans that show a Democratic “wave” is no longer certain, but in the end turnout patterns could matter most.

By Ed Kilgore