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2024 Elections

  1. early and often
    2024’s House Races Are As Close As the Presidential ContestNo party has ever flipped the House while losing the White House. But we could see an unprecedented triple flip of Congress and the White House.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. early and often
    Jerome Powell Testifies Before Senate Banking Committee
    Kamala Harris Gives Senate Democrats a Ray of Hope for 2024Until Biden withdrew, Democrats had all but given up on keeping the Senate in their hands. Now, it’s still an uphill climb but a real possibility.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. the system
    President Biden Delivers Remarks On Attempted Assassination Of Former President Trump
    Joe Biden’s Accidental Bridge to Kamala HarrisIf she becomes the nominee, it will be thanks to Biden’s clumsy racial politics.
    By Zak Cheney-Rice
  4. early and often
    Former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan Interview
    Will Republicans Make All Their Candidates Defend Trump?The GOP needs to give Larry Hogan some leeway to win a Senate seat in his deep-blue state. But he’s being required to show absolute loyalty to Trump.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. early and often
    wes moore endorses alsobrooks
    Senate Democrats Have No Margin for Error in NovemberDemocrats actually lead in polling of every very competitive Senate race. But one stumble on a difficult landscape and they’re back in the minority.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. early and often
    TOPSHOT-US-ISRAEL-PALESTINIANS-CONFLICT-POLITICS-CEASEFIRE
    The Most Endangered Democrat in AmericaJamaal Bowman might lose his job over Israel.
    By Ross Barkan
  7. poll position
    What the Polls Say Today: Democrats Take Lead in Generic Congressional BallotDemocrats recently moved into a narrow lead, though handicappers still give Republicans a good chance to hold the House.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. early and often
    Brandon Herrera Campaign Rally
    Uvalde’s Next Congressman Might Be a GunfluencerIn the latest battle of the Republican civil war, a Texas moderate is challenged by “The AK Guy.”
    By Ben Jacobs
  9. early and often
    Sunrise-at-the-United-States-Capitol
    The Senate, House, and White House Could All Change Hands in NovemberClosely divided congressional chambers and a close presidential race could lead to all sorts of new power configurations in 2025.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. early and often
    President Biden Delivers State Of The Union Address
    Don’t Get Too Attached to Speaker Mike JohnsonHe can probably out-maneuver MTG and keep his gavel until November. But his survival as Speaker post–Election Day looks far less certain.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. life after roe
    Protests Break Out Across The U.S. As Supreme Court Overturns Roe v. Wade
    Floridians Get Near-Total Abortion Ban — and Chance to Reverse ItA six-week abortion ban will soon take effect. But the state Supreme Court also gave voters an opportunity to strike it down in November.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. early and often
    Ghost Army Ceremony
    Johnson Urges GOP to Save Craziness for After the ElectionMTG wants House Republicans to pursue their extremist goals now. The Speaker would rather hold off and maximize the chances of a MAGA trifecta.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. early and often
    US-POLITICS-CONGRESS-SECURITY-HEALTH-BUDGET
    Lisa Murkowski Could Hold Balance of Power in SenateOwing very little to the GOP and alienated from Trump, the Alaska senator could be in the catbird seat after November.
    By Ed Kilgore
  14. early and often
    Supreme Court Nominee Judge Neil Gorsuch Meets With Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) On Capitol Hill
    McConnell Stole a Supreme Court Seat. Is That the Norm Now?Debate over whether Sotomayor should retire reveals control of both the White House and Senate may be necessary to confirm anyone going forward.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. early and often
    Columbiana County Lincoln Day Dinner
    Ohio Is Trump Country: Bernie Moreno Wins Senate PrimaryTrump nudged a candidate into the winner’s circle once again in the GOP Senate primary — though Moreno will have a tough battle against Sherrod Brown.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. early and often
    Former President Trump Holds A Campaign Rally In Ohio
    Nasty Ohio GOP Primary Could Hurt Party’s Odds of Flipping SenateA winnable race against Sherrod Brown has been complicated by rumors about the sex life of Trump’s candidate Bernie Moreno, which may help Matt Dolan.
    By Ed Kilgore
  17. early and often
    Senators Meet For Policy Luncheons On Capitol Hill
    Mitch McConnell’s Power Trip Finally Comes to an EndWith his control slipping due to health problems and a bad relationship with Donald Trump, McConnell announced he’ll step down as Senate leader.
    By Ed Kilgore
  18. politics
    USA Capitol Building dome with American flag flying.
    The Winners and Losers From New York’s New Congressional MapState Democrats have opted against instituting an extreme gerrymander.
    By Nia Prater
  19. politics
    New York’s New Congressional Map Might Disappoint EveryoneThe new map made small changes to a few upstate districts but is far from the big Democratic win some had hoped for.
    By Nia Prater
  20. politics
    What Could Suozzi’s Win Mean for November?Experts speculate what the former congressman’s special-election win might mean for races in the fall.
    By Nia Prater
  21. early and often
    Larry Hogan Senate Bid Is Good for Republicans, Bad for No LabelsThe anti-Trump former governor won’t be available for No Labels’ Unity Ticket. But he gives the GOP a chance at winning an unlikely Senate seat.
    By Ed Kilgore
  22. early and often
    Doomed Border-Security Deal Was a Bad Bet for Kyrsten SinemaWhat happens when a consummate Senate deal-maker’s deal dies? She probably retires.
    By Ed Kilgore
  23. early and often
    ‘Trumpier Than Trump’ Coal Baron Runs for Senate — As a DemocratEx-con, ex-Republican Don Blankenship is still full of rage at Joe Manchin and Mitch McConnell. His new party wants nothing to do with him.
    By Ed Kilgore
  24. early and often
    New York Redistricting Could Make or Break Democrats in 2024Likely control of the U.S. House has been teetering between the two parties for months. Now New York’s next move may decide it.
    By Ed Kilgore
  25. the national interest
    Selling Bidenomics Is Biden’s Only Chance to Beat TrumpIncumbent presidents can’t run away from the economy.
    By Jonathan Chait
  26. life after roe
    Republicans Need to Come Up With a New Abortion Stance — FastYoungkin tried going on the offensive with a less extreme abortion ban and failed dismally on Election Day. Republicans seem unsure of what to do now.
    By Ed Kilgore
  27. early and often
    Blake Masters Lands in Another Nasty Intra-MAGA PrimaryAfter abandoning a Senate fight with Kari Lake, Masters now faces fellow MAGA carpetbagger Abe Hamadeh in a House primary in suburban Phoenix.
    By Ed Kilgore
  28. early and often
    North Carolina Gerrymander Boosts Odds of GOP Holding HouseRepublicans in North Carolina have redrawn their state’s congressional map to add three or four seats to the GOP majority in the U.S. House.
    By Ed Kilgore
  29. early and often
    What If There’s No House Speaker for a Month? For a Year?!Much of what the House does wouldn’t be missed. But you can’t keep the government running or address emergencies without someone being in charge.
    By Ed Kilgore
  30. early and often
    Kari Lake vs. Kyrsten Sinema Is Already 2024’s Wildest Senate RaceThe Donald Trump acolyte confirmed she’ll take on the incumbent independent senator, setting up a high-stakes three-way Senate race in Arizona.
    By Ed Kilgore
  31. early and often
    A Blake Masters–Kari Lake MAGA War Is Brewing in ArizonaTrump ultras Blake Masters and Kari Lake both lost as Arizona ticket-mates in 2022. Next year they could be rivals for Kyrsten Sinema’s Senate seat.
    By Ed Kilgore
  32. early and often
    Why Kevin McCarthy Won’t Drop the Hammer on George SantosThe Speaker needs Santos’s vote to hang on to his gavel. But letting the fabulist become the face of New York Republicans is perilous, too.
    By Ed Kilgore
  33. early and often
    Democrats Should Target Ted Cruz in 2024Colin Allred is a credible challenger who will benefit from nationwide progressive loathing for the Republican, who is not popular at home.
    By Ed Kilgore
  34. early and often
    Republicans Get Prize Recruit Jim Justice to Take On Joe ManchinIf the endangered Democratic senator runs again, he could face West Virginia’s popular governor. But Justice has to survive a primary challenge.
    By Ed Kilgore
  35. early and often
    Joe Manchin Is 2024’s Most Vulnerable Democratic SenatorSince the Inflation Reduction Act passed, Manchin’s popularity among Republicans in his state has collapsed. He’s in big trouble if Jim Justice runs.
    By Ed Kilgore
  36. early and often
    Senate Republicans Learn to Stop Worrying, Love Trump’s ComebackMany Republicans blamed Trump for their midterm losses. Now that he’s the clear 2024 front-runner, they’ve decided they can still live with him.
    By Ed Kilgore
  37. early and often
    Doug Mastriano May Crush Pennsylvania Republicans’ Dreams Once AgainMany Republicans think David McCormick can win a 2024 Senate race. But the GOP can’t shake Mastriano, an ultra-MAGA election denier and 2022 loser.
    By Ed Kilgore
  38. the inside game
    The One Big Question Bernie Sanders Won’t AnswerThe progressive hero has more power than ever. He has to decide whether to try and keep it ’til he’s 89.
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  39. on with kara swisher
    Ruben Gallego on What Democrats Can Learn From ArizonaKara Swisher talks to the Senate candidate about Latino outreach, avoiding the “exploitation wedge,” and taking on Kyrsten Sinema and Kari Lake.
    By Intelligencer Staff
  40. the inside game
    The Agonizing Fall of the Florida DemocratThe few left in office insist their state isn’t a lost cause … yet.
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  41. life after roe
    RNC Tells Republican Politicians to Stay Extreme on AbortionThe RNC passed a resolution scolding politicians who backed off after the end of Roe v. Wade and urging them to stay on the offensive in 2024.
    By Ed Kilgore
  42. the national interest
    Kyrsten Sinema Is Playing ChickenDeclaring herself an independent is a way to force the Democratic Party into embracing her.
    By Jonathan Chait
  43. early and often
    Trump Is Running Again to Restore His Perfect AmericaThe ex-president managed to restrain himself from attacking his Republican critics or rivals, at least for now.
    By Ed Kilgore
  44. the power trip
    Maggie Haberman on How She Covers Trump Without Losing Her MindA conversation about her critics, Trump family feuds, and the one time he used a fake baby in a photo op.
    By Olivia Nuzzi
  45. the national interest
    What If Trump’s Fixation on 2020 Is His Best Strategy to Win Next Time?The idea that Trump’s big lie is hurting himself is a convenient myth.
    By Jonathan Chait
  46. the national interest
    Why Ron DeSantis Can Beat Trump in 2024The party is deciding, and the voters are getting the message.
    By Jonathan Chait
  47. politics
    Is Cy Vance Punting the Trump Investigation?The outgoing DA extends his probe into the term of Manhattan’s newly elected crime fighter, and the reasons aren’t entirely clear.
    By Ankush Khardori
  48. joe manchin
    Is Manchin Considering Quitting the Democratic Party?The West Virginian wants to issue a credible threat to Democrats to increase his leverage in negotiations over Biden’s agenda.
    By Ed Kilgore
  49. politics
    The Elephant in the RoomRepublicans carefully run for president, not knowing if the last one will, too.
    By Ben Jacobs
  50. weird flex
    The GOP’s 2024 Strategy Has a High Body CountHow rejecting COVID precautions has become a fertile campaign boast for potential GOP presidential hopefuls.
    By Zak Cheney-Rice
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