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Electoral College

  1. early and often
    Watch Kamala Harris Preside Over Confirmation of Her Own DefeatIn a cruel twist of fate, the vice-president drew the chore of officially acknowledging Donald Trump’s reelection.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. early and often
    How to Think About National Polls 6 Weeks From the ElectionEven putting possible polling errors aside, there’s a limit to what they can tell us.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. early and often
    US-POLITICS-LITERATURE-MCCARTHY-CATHER
    Nebraska Republicans May Take the One Electoral Vote Biden Needs MostJoe Biden won a single electoral vote in Nebraska in 2020. The GOP could make that impossible in 2024, which could be crucial to the outcome.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. politics
    Kamala Harris Shouldn’t Have to Save the 2024 ElectionIf Congress fixes the Electoral Count Act now, it could reduce the odds of the vice president needing to assert powers she may not really have.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. politics
    Congress Must Act Now to Stop the Next Election CoupA quick fix of the Electoral Count Act might get the crucial Republican support that voting-rights legislation failed to secure.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. politics
    Trump Tried to Force DOJ to Back His 2020 Election CoupLong after the 2020 election was decided, Trump relentlessly used all the mechanisms available to the executive branch to overturn his loss.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. democracy
    Trump’s Delegitimization of Democracy Isn’t Wearing OffIt remains unclear when — or if — Republicans will begin to accept electoral defeat again.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. politics
    How Close Did We Get to an Election Coup?At several moments, Trump’s efforts to overturn Joe Biden’s victory were scarily close to success. Fortunately, he was too incompetent to pull it off.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. conservatism
    House GOP Admits It Opposes Democracy, Not Voter FraudHouse Republicans claimed that they object to affirming Biden’s victory out of concern for voter fraud. A colleague just called their bluff.
    By Eric Levitz
  10. contested election
    Tom Cotton Breaks With Trump on Coup Attempt in CongressThe Arkansan split with other presidential wannabes in warning that Trump is undermining an Electoral College that has served Republicans well.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. contested election
    Futile Ploy to Overturn Election in Congress Divides GOPRepublicans in the Senate and House are publicly at odds over a pointless plan to block the certification of Biden’s win out of loyalty to Trump.
    By Chas Danner
  12. politics
    5 Lessons About Politics for 2021The 2020 election may be over, but it’s got lessons for the future.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. politics
    Senate Overrides Trump’s Veto of National Defense Authorization ActBut a last-ditch effort to increase COVID stimulus checks to $2,000 failed.
    By Chas Danner
  14. vision 2020
    Wisconsin Supreme Court Was One Vote Away From Flipping the State to TrumpIf not for a progressive justice’s upset win earlier this year, the decision could have gone the other way, costing Biden ten electoral votes.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. vision 2020
    McConnell Finally Acknowledges Biden As President-electIt’s taken a long time, but the dam has broken, with Republican senators undermining any last-minute rebellion against the results in January.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. vision 2020
    Electoral College Rejects Trump Coup and Confirms Biden as PresidentIt’s a routine process, but threats of violence and plans by Trump’s campaign to “elect” bogus alternative electors are raising eyebrows.
    By Ed Kilgore
  17. contested election
    Tuesday’s ‘Safe Harbor’ Deadline Should End Trump’s Failed CoupNearly every state has certified its results and electors, which — after December 8 — should cut off further challenges.
    By Ed Kilgore
  18. vision 2020
    Biden’s Vote Lead Over Trump Now More than 7 MillionHe’s blown-away his old boss Barack Obama’s performance, which was the best for a Democratic presidential candidate since LBJ.
    By Ed Kilgore
  19. vision 2020
    Trump’s Antics Strengthen the Case for Nationalizing Election RulesThis year’s chaotic postelection environment shows how a scofflaw like Trump can exploit a decentralized and disorganized system.
    By Ed Kilgore
  20. contested election
    How Long Can Trump Keep Contesting the Election?Republicans could bring the president’s madness to an end, but there are a series of deadlines that may force the issue.
    By Ed Kilgore
  21. vision 2020
    Trump Is Running Out of Time to Change These 8 Election X-FactorsExamining the remaining variables, the president is in serious trouble just two weeks ahead of his date with reelection fate.
    By Ed Kilgore
  22. vision 2020
    Should We Stop Panicking About Trump Stealing the Election?The odds of a contested presidential election have dropped. But until Trump’s attacks on mail ballots are repudiated by his party, some risk remains.
    By Ed Kilgore
  23. vision 2020
    Pelosi Makes Plans for House Election of PresidentIf the Electoral College is deadlocked, the House will elect the next president under a scenario favoring Republicans that Pelosi will try to reverse.
    By Ed Kilgore
  24. vision 2020
    How Biden Can Challenge Trump on Trying to Rig the ElectionBiden should try to split Trump from his enablers by disclaiming an attack on the legitimacy of the Electoral College if all votes are counted.
    By Ed Kilgore
  25. vision 2020
    A Rational Case for How Trump Could Win the Election Without Stealing ItSean Trende argues Trump’s relatively high approval ratings, an improving economy, and Biden’s base problems could reelect Trump in another upset.
    By Ed Kilgore
  26. vision 2020
    Polls: Biden Maintains Electoral College Lead, But It’s FragilePolls show a slightly eroding Biden lead nationally, but he’s in great shape unless the margin falls below 3 percent.
    By Ed Kilgore
  27. contested election
    The System for Resolving a Contested Presidential Election Is Also a MessThe two-week period in Congress in January is convoluted, depends on the good faith of the party in power, and requires lawmakers to act briskly.
    By Ed Kilgore
  28. vision 2020
    Trump Backers Make a Case for Stealing Election, Before Biden Gets the ChanceConservatives are advancing a dangerous argument, suggesting a premature Trump victory declaration may be justified by a planned Democratic coup.
    By Ed Kilgore
  29. vision 2020
    Can Florida Save Us From a Contested Presidential Election?The Sunshine State is expected to report quickly on Election Night, and if Biden has won it, the odds of Trump credibly claiming victory go down.
    By Ed Kilgore
  30. vision 2020
    Presidential Battleground States Change All the TimeOhio, Iowa, Colorado, and Virginia are recent battlegrounds that are no longer very competitive, while Florida and Wisconsin remain critical in 2020.
    By Ed Kilgore
  31. vision 2020
    The Democrats Are Almost Certainly Going to Win the Popular Vote. Again.Soon popular majorities may take radical action to disrupt minority rule maintained through anti-democratic institutions and voter suppression.
    By Ed Kilgore
  32. vision 2020
    Would Biden Contest a Trump Electoral College Win?While there’s abundant evidence Trump is willing to contest an adverse election result, it’s unlikely Joe Biden would trigger a constitutional crisis.
    By Ed Kilgore
  33. vision 2020
    Supreme Court Lets States Punish ‘Faithless Electors’A unanimous Supreme Court found no constitutional sanction for treating presidential electors as free agents.
    By Ed Kilgore
  34. vision 2020
    In Trump Years, It Feels Like Late in His Second TermThe intensity of the Trump presidency may mean he is wearing out his welcome in just one term — which took Bush two terms, according to polling.
    By Ed Kilgore
  35. vision 2020
    Trump Is Laying the Groundwork to Contest Any Election LossBy deeming voting-by-mail systems a way a majority of states use to rig elections, POTUS has laid a foundation to declare a close election fraudulent.
    By Ed Kilgore
  36. vision 2020
    Could State Legislatures Hijack the 2020 Presidential Election?State legislatures directly appointing electors is a more realistic scenario for a coup d’etat than Trump canceling or delaying Election Day.
    By Ed Kilgore
  37. vision 2020
    5 Reasons Pundits Will Overestimate Trump’s Odds of Winning in NovemberNobody wants to experience Trump gloating at their expense twice in a row.
    By Ed Kilgore
  38. vision 2020
    What Will Happen If There’s a Tie in the Electoral College?The House with each delegation casting one vote would elect the President, with Republicans likely to hold the advantage.
    By Ed Kilgore
  39. vision 2020
    Democrats Still Have Multiple Routes to 2020 Electoral College WinIt’s not necessarily all about the Rust Belt.
    By Ed Kilgore
  40. vision 2020
    Diversity Will Continue to Be Democratic Asset in 2020Demographic trends and potentially higher Democratic margins among minorities and suburbanites could be crucial in 2020.
    By Ed Kilgore
  41. trump campaign
    Trump Campaign: ‘Remind AOC and Democrats That This Is Our Country, Not Theirs’In a campaign email, the president defends the Electoral College on the grounds that the U.S. belongs exclusively to Republican voters.
    By Eric Levitz
  42. electoral college
    No, Joni Ernst, Iowans Don’t Need the Electoral College to Influence PresidentsIt’s funny that the senator for the first-in-the-nation-caucus state thinks nobody would pay attention to Iowa if not for its six electoral votes.
    By Ed Kilgore
  43. vision 2020
    Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of HimTranslating Trump’s standing in the 50 states to the 2020 electoral college vote currently shows the incumbent getting trounced.
    By Ed Kilgore
  44. vision 2020
    The Scary Proposition That Trump Is Gradually Becoming More PopularYes, Trump is fairly close to his highest job approval numbers, but there’s no real evidence he’s about to bust through his ceiling.
    By Ed Kilgore
  45. vision 2020
    How Trump Could Thread the Needle Again and Win While Losing the Popular VoteIf it all comes down to Wisconsin, Democrats should worry.
    By Ed Kilgore
  46. electoral college
    Nevada Governor Vetoes National Popular Vote Bill for Some Stupid ReasonThe bill “could diminish the role of smaller states like Nevada in national electoral contests,” the governor said, stupidly.
    By Eric Levitz
  47. vision 2020
    Without a Plausible ‘Theory of Change,’ Progressive Ideas Are Just FantasiesTurns out the last Democratic president didn’t have a durable idea of how to overcome Republican obstruction. The next better get one.
    By Ed Kilgore
  48. birch bayh
    Birch Bayh, Liberal Lion of the Senate, Dies at 91Bayh’s proudest accomplishment was the Title IX law banning gender discrimination in higher education. He was also chief Senate sponsor of the ERA.
    By Ed Kilgore
  49. vision 2020
    As 2020 Grows Near, Democrats Could Experience Trump Reelection PanicNo matter how often Democrats tell themselves that substantive issues matter most, “electability” will haunt them in choosing a nominee.
    By Ed Kilgore
  50. politics
    Former Maine Governor Defends Electoral College, Saying It Protects White PeopleIt’s widely understood that Republicans rely on the Electoral College to thwart democracy. But it’s unusual for one of them to admit a racial motive.
    By Ed Kilgore
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