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Vision 2024

  1. 2022 midterms
    Biden’s Approval Rating Is Low But Still Higher Than Trump’sWith better skill than he’s shown lately and a bit of luck, Biden can mitigate 2022 midterm losses and bounce back in 2024.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. vision 2024
    A Joe Biden–Liz Cheney 2024 Ticket Won’t Save AmericaThomas Friedman cites an Israeli precedent for his call for a coalition of national salvation. It’s not an apt comparison and probably wouldn’t work.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. politics
    The Sad, Unconvincing Case for Pence 2024Despite talk of Pence being the “shadow front-runner” for the GOP nomination, he still has no constituency for a presidential campaign.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. politics
    Why Biden Finally Went After Trump on January 6It was a no-brainer for a commemoration of the insurrection Trump incited, but the bigger question is whether Biden keeps at it.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. authoritarianism
    Trump Endorses Viktor Orbán, His Hungarian Role ModelIt’s an unusual move that may signal what Trump hopes to achieve for himself.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. democrats
    Will a Doomed Voting-Rights Push Really Help Biden?Democrats’ “supercharged” drive to pass voting-rights legislation, which will likely fail, could discourage base voters more than sober realism.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. politics
    Are Democrats Just Repeating Obama’s First Year?There are some striking similarities between the party’s current problems and what they faced 12 years ago. But Obama did manage to get reelected.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. big lie
    Trump Goes Global With Big Lie Litmus TestForeign leaders like former Israeli prime minister Bibi Netanyahu are being cast as enemies for recognizing the 2020 election results.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. vision 2024
    Republicans Are Too Afraid of Trump to Fix Election LawsProminent liberals and conservatives favor reform to a statute that helped produce chaos on January 6. But Congress won’t budge.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. abortion
    If Roe Is Reversed, Democrats Need to Be ReadyAt a time when their party has convinced itself to avoid social issues, they should prepare for a culture-war battle they can win.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. 2022 midterms
    Republicans Can’t Bet on Finding Perfectly Trumpy CandidatesThe GOP thinks candidates who embrace Trump without going full MAGA are the key to winning the midterms. Good luck finding them.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. past is prologue
    Cheer Up, Democrats! You’ve Had It Worse Than This.The Democratic Party has a lot of problems, but it’s faced similarly sticky situations before and survived.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. politics
    For Pete’s Sake, Stop the Presidential Buzz About ButtigiegThe secretary of Transportation has plenty of fish to fry without constant speculation that antagonizes Kamala Harris supporters to no good end.
    By Ed Kilgore
  14. vision 2024
    If Biden Retires in 2024, Kamala Harris Will Be the Democratic NomineeFor all the negative punditry about the veep lately, don’t underestimate all the advantages she’ll have if Biden gives way to her.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. 2022 midterms
    Beto O’Rourke Is Running for Governor in TexasThe former Democratic phenom must overcome past questions to challenge a strong but vulnerable Republican incumbent in a red state turning purple.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. politics
    Sununu Passes on Senate Race, Giving Democrats a BreakThe popular New Hampshire governor was a key part of the formula for a Republican takeover of the Senate in 2022. Now it gets tougher for the GOP.
    By Ed Kilgore
  17. politics
    6 Takeaways From Glenn Youngkin’s Win in VirginiaEarly data suggests the Republican governor-elect benefited from higher turnout in pro-GOP areas and among white working-class voters in particular.
    By Ed Kilgore
  18. 2021 elections
    Democrats Would Only Lose Again by Decimating Biden’s AgendaThe worst thing Democrats in Congress can do after Tuesday’s election losses is give up their fleeting opportunity to make historic accomplishments.
    By Ed Kilgore
  19. 2022 midterms
    Raffensperger Fears Future Election Violence, Can’t Stick Around to Thwart ItThe 45th president’s least favorite Republican official is fighting very high odds against his renomination by the Trumpy Georgia GOP.
    By Ed Kilgore
  20. vision 2024
    Most Republicans Already Say They Can’t Lose in 2024 Unless the Vote Is RiggedIt’s bad enough that Republicans believe Trump’s Big Lie. It’s worse that they believe the bigger lie that he couldn’t — and can’t — lose.
    By Ed Kilgore
  21. politics
    January 6 Committee May Finally Spur Electoral Count Act FixIf House Democrats move to fix the flawed procedures for confirming elections, Republicans may be compelled to go along or devise their own reforms.
    By Ed Kilgore
  22. politics
    Trump Can’t Lose in the Virginia Governor’s RaceThe 45th president can spin both a Democratic and a Republican win as reinforcing his indispensability. And the same will be true in 2022.
    By Ed Kilgore
  23. mike pence
    For Mike Pence, Running a Doomed Presidential Race Is a LivingThe former veep doesn’t have to be a plausible presidential candidate to stay on the gravy train.
    By Ed Kilgore
  24. big lie
    Trump Says Republicans Must Solve the Big Lie or Their Voters Won’t VoteIt’s unclear how Trump’s phony fraud incidents can be solved by a party that opposes federal election legislation. But it keeps the focus on himself.
    By Ed Kilgore
  25. politics
    Audit Fever Is Now Spreading to States Trump Easily WonTrump supporters are skeptical about the integrity of our elections, and they’re starting to devour their own.
    By Ed Kilgore
  26. politics
    Kamala Harris Shouldn’t Have to Save the 2024 ElectionIf Congress fixes the Electoral Count Act now, it could reduce the odds of the vice president needing to assert powers she may not really have.
    By Ed Kilgore
  27. past is prologue
    Biden May Bounce Back Like Other Presidents HaveHistory shows that presidents usually get reelected unless they are unlucky, or, like Donald Trump, they work hard at alienating voters.
    By Ed Kilgore
  28. politics
    California Republicans’ Demonization of Voting by Mail May BackfireThe state has made universal voting by mail permanent. Now Republicans must deal with the effect of Trump’s disinformation on mail ballots.
    By Ed Kilgore
  29. voting rights
    Surrendering to Republicans on Voting Rights Won’t Save DemocracyJoe Manchin seems to think voting-rights reforms have to be bipartisan to work. But letting Republicans run wild won’t encourage them to compromise.
    By Ed Kilgore
  30. 2022 midterms
    Democrats Should (Privately) Write Off 2022 and Just GovernWhen the deal goes down on Biden’s agenda in Congress, vulnerable Democrats should not be given bragging rights for thwarting their own party.
    By Ed Kilgore
  31. marjorie taylor greene
    Why Is Marjorie Taylor Greene Headed to the Cradle of Presidential Campaigns?Does the conspiracist Georgia congresswoman see herself running for president? It’s unclear what else she could be doing at the Iowa State Fair.
    By Ed Kilgore
  32. politics
    Why Republicans Want to Keep Punishing Liz Cheney and Adam KinzingerThe pair are already pariahs, and ignoring Pelosi’s January 6 panel would be easier. But Republicans still want payback, and leverage over McCarthy.
    By Ed Kilgore
  33. debt limit
    Republicans Won’t Help Democrats Raise Debt LimitMcConnell is again being a hypocrite by treating an essential debt-limit increase as a problem for Democrats. But it’s what he needs for his message.
    By Ed Kilgore
  34. vision 2024
    Has Trump Spoiled the GOP for More Rational Leaders?If Trump doesn’t run in 2024, other Republican presidential contenders will have a hard time rivaling his unique demagogic appeal.
    By Ed Kilgore
  35. congress
    Bill Aims to Keep Trump From Becoming House SpeakerDemocrats could bar Trump and other nonmembers from serving as Speaker, but they may not want to draw attention to the zany proposal.
    By Ed Kilgore
  36. politics
    Democrats Can’t Win the Culture War With SilenceChanging the subject to poll-tested economic policy issues has never dispelled Republican cultural smears in the past. It won’t now, either.
    By Ed Kilgore
  37. election coup
    Did Trump Really Claim Victory on Election Night on a Whim?The idea of declaring victory based only on the in-person vote was telegraphed for months. Now, Trump insiders claim it was somehow impulsive.
    By Ed Kilgore
  38. 2022 midterms
    Paul LePage Is Running for Governor of Maine AgainHe’s counting on midterm backlash and an independent spoiler to beat Democrat Janet Mills. If he does, it will be seen as an omen for Trump ’24.
    By Ed Kilgore
  39. vision 2024
    Is Sarah Huckabee Sanders Already Auditioning for Vice-President?It’s one theory for why she’s running a savage culture-war campaign for Arkansas governor. The others are scarier.
    By Ed Kilgore
  40. vision 2020
    New Data Shows How Biden Won, Where Trump Gained in 2020A Pew analysis shows that Biden’s suburban boom was real, the gender gap shrank, and Trump’s boost among Latinos was larger than previously known.
    By Ed Kilgore
  41. politics
    Trump Tried to Force DOJ to Back His 2020 Election CoupLong after the 2020 election was decided, Trump relentlessly used all the mechanisms available to the executive branch to overturn his loss.
    By Ed Kilgore
  42. veep
    President Biden Isn’t Making Life Easy for Kamala HarrisThe vice-president is the presumed front-runner to someday succeed Biden. He might want to start giving her less impossible assignments.
    By Ed Kilgore
  43. politics
    Is Presidential Popularity Now All About Partisanship?Biden’s job-approval ratings are even steadier than Trump’s, suggesting a president’s party may be more important than his actions. It’s a scary idea.
    By Ed Kilgore
  44. vision 2024
    Mike Pence Trudges Towards 2024After his breach with Trump, is the former vice president really anything more than another Dan Quayle?
    By Ed Kilgore