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2022 Midterms
2022 midterms
July 7, 2021
Why Primary Runoffs Will Matter in the 2022 Midterms In states without runoffs, Trump targets like Representative Liz Cheney may escape his wrath.
J.D. Vance Is Having a Rough Time God appeared to strike the launch of his Senate campaign in Ohio.
Is Sarah Huckabee Sanders Already Auditioning for Vice-President? It’s one theory for why she’s running a savage culture-war campaign for Arkansas governor. The others are scarier.
vision 2020
June 30, 2021
New Data Shows How Biden Won, Where Trump Gained in 2020 A Pew analysis shows that Biden’s suburban boom was real, the gender gap shrank, and Trump’s boost among Latinos was larger than previously known.
2022 midterms
June 30, 2021
Will Ranked-Choice Voting Help or Hurt Lisa Murkowski? The veteran maverick Republican will have to fight off a Trump-endorsed conservative and a Democrat-backed independent if she runs for a fourth term.
2022 midterms
June 29, 2021
Trump Says Herschel Walker Is Running for Senate If Trump isn’t just making this up, his coalition for the 2022 midterms will gain some star power, if not an assured victory.
House Democrats Can Blow Up Biden’s Agenda, Too Joe Manchin and other Senate centrists get all the flak, but it would only take five rebel Democrats to derail key House votes.
2022 midterms
June 22, 2021
Will Young and Minority Voters Save Democrats in 2022? With or without some help from Donald Trump, Democrats need to keep the voters who surged to the polls in 2018 and 2020 engaged.
2022 midterms
June 21, 2021
Anti-Government Extremist Ammon Bundy Joins Wild Governor’s Race in Idaho Bundy and Lieutenant Governor Janice McGeachin could compete for the militia vote in a 2022 gubernatorial race that may not have an incumbent.
2022 midterms
June 16, 2021
Could Democrats Defy History and Keep Congress in 2022? There is recent precedent for the president’s party gaining House seats in unusual midterm elections, but it is still a long shot for Democrats.
donald trump
June 16, 2021
Could Trump Become Speaker of the House? This bizarre scenario is technically possible, but fantasies about Trump returning to the White House via the Speakership are extremely far-fetched.
supreme court
June 14, 2021
McConnell All But Admits He Would Never Confirm a Biden Supreme Court Pick With McConnell pledging obstruction, Democrats need to make the Supreme Court a major campaign issue for the midterms.
2022 midterms
June 12, 2021
Brian Kemp May Be Outfoxing Donald Trump Despite Trump’s vows of vengeance against the Georgia governor, he cannot find a top-tier candidate to run against him.
elections of 2021
June 9, 2021
McAuliffe Cruises to Virginia Gubernatorial Nomination There were no big primary upsets in the two states holding off-year elections, but Virginia Democrats are nervous anyway.
2022 midterms
June 7, 2021
Georgia Republicans Forgo 2022 Prep to Bicker Over Past The GOP State Convention was a chance to pull together before a pivotal midterm election, but Georgia Republicans are still divided over Trump’s lies.
2022 midterms
May 26, 2021
Trump Consulting Gingrich on Midterm ‘Contract’ With one well-known snake-oil salesman helping a man allergic to actual thinking, we shouldn’t expect much in the way of a midterm message.
Is Presidential Popularity Now All About Partisanship? Biden’s job-approval ratings are even steadier than Trump’s, suggesting a president’s party may be more important than his actions. It’s a scary idea.
The Future Could Actually Be Bright for Republicans The GOP comeback will likely begin with retaking the House in 2022, then probably the Senate, and maybe the presidency.
Georgia Republicans See Disastrous Election Cycle As Something to Brag About In their deluded minds, they believe losing Georgia to Biden and the Senate to Democrats were victories stolen by their own secretary of state.
Polling the Midterms Is Going to Be Risky Business It’s hard to tell whether 2020 polling errors were about Trump, the pandemic, or something more basic and replicable.
Trump’s GOP Enemies Try 3 Strategies for Survival Paul Ryan, Mitt Romney, and Brian Kemp exhibit different ways Republican politicians are dealing with the Boss’s disdain.
2022 midterms
Apr. 29, 2021
Kris Kobach Won’t Go Away The Republican Party’s gift that keeps on giving to Kansas Democrats is running for attorney general.
Democrats Are Shooting for the Moon in 2021, and That’s Okay The usual choice between getting things done and holding on to power is no choice at all for Democrats right now.
The Fateful Question of How Latinos Vote Going Forward Trump and his party over-performed with Latino voters in 2020. It’s important for both parties to figure whether that was a fluke or a trend.
2022 midterms
Apr. 22, 2021
Georgia Republicans Wonder What to Do About Herschel Walker His indecision about a 2022 Senate race after Trump urged him to run is complicating life for other would-be senators.
2022 midterms
Apr. 21, 2021
After the Voting Wars, Who’s Likely to Turn Out in 2022? The net impact of laws to suppress or expand voting rights is unclear, and will compete with many factors affecting the level and shape of turnout.
2022 midterms
Apr. 19, 2021
Greitens Tries the Maximum MAGA Strategy in Comeback Bid for Senate Seat The disgraced former governor will have Trumpy competition in the primary, which could make a Democratic upset in a key Senate race possible.
georgia election law
Apr. 16, 2021
Can Suppressing Votes Save Brian Kemp? Kemp is using Georgia’s new election law to heal a breach with Trump-loving conservatives but so far has drawn only a gadfly primary opponent.
gavin newsom recall
Apr. 14, 2021
Struggling California Republicans Gamble on Newsom Recall These are grim times for the GOP in the Golden State. So they are calculating that a long-shot recall drive may be their best best for a win.
Biden’s Steady Popularity Depends on Near-Universal Democratic Support Biden seems to have figured out how to keep his party happy without mobilizing the opposition. But avoiding midterm losses will still be tricky.
2022 midterms
Apr. 12, 2021
Sex, Trump, and Insurrection: Alabama Republicans Are at It Again With Mo Brooks winning Trump’s endorsement and John Merrill imploding in a sex scandal, Alabama’s 2022 Senate primary is off to a fine start.
Trump and Rubio, Best of Frenemies Rubio seems as tormented as ever by the man who rolled over him five years ago.
republican party
Apr. 7, 2021
Why Republicans Think They Can Regain Power Without Repudiating Trumpism From the midterm precedents to the belief that Trump expanded the GOP’s reach, Republicans have a host of reasons to be complacent.
Democrats’ Control of the House Is Increasingly Fragile Resignations and a death have left Pelosi with a shrinking majority until special elections fill the vacancies.
georgia voting law
Apr. 1, 2021
Georgia Republicans Working Hard to Sabotage a 2022 Comeback Georgia’s GOP could be upbeat heading toward the midterms. But the voting-law debacle and a Trump purge could snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
2022 midterms
Mar. 31, 2021
Democrats Have a Good Chance of Holding the Senate in 2022 With the Judiciary on the line, the Senate landscape favors Democrats in the next midterms.
voting rights
Mar. 30, 2021
Georgia Trooper Claims Legislator’s Knock Raised Fears of January 6 Repeat Was Governor Brian Kemp really endangered by Park Cannon tapping on his door in hopes of watching him sign a controversial election bill?
Raffensperger’s Support for Georgia’s Voter-Suppression Law Won’t Save Him Georgia’s secretary of state blasphemed Trump, and that’s all that matters to his fellow Republicans.
2022 midterms
Mar. 29, 2021
Watch Democratic Retirements for Clues About House Midterms History suggests it will be tough for Democrats to hang on to their narrow House majority in 2022. But open seats will be especially hard to defend.
voting rights
Mar. 26, 2021
What Can Democrats Do About Georgia’s Voting-Rights Restrictions? They are already going to court, and could pass preemptive legislation in Congress. But winning control of the state in 2022 is the best solution.
Georgia Republicans Take Revenge on Voting Rights After major Democratic wins, the embattled GOP passes a harsh law to claw back power.
2022 midterms
Mar. 22, 2021
Capitol Riot Rabble-rouser Mo Brooks Running for Senate The congressman was outflanked on his right in Alabama’s 2017 Senate race. That will not happen this time around.
2022 midterms
Mar. 19, 2021
Trumpy Georgia Congressman May Help Punish Raffensperger Representative Jody Hice may give up a safe seat to become Trump’s instrument of revenge against the Georgia official who certified Biden’s win.
The House Brings Back the Equal Rights Amendment This time, the effort to revive the ERA will get a vote in the Senate, where Republicans would suffer the consequences for killing it.
2022 midterms
Mar. 16, 2021
The Alaska Republican Party Is Trying to Push Out Lisa Murkowski In their censure vote, state GOP officials requested that she not run on the Republican ticket in 2022.
Will 2022 Governors’ Races Be Armageddon for Voting Rights? A first look at 2022 gubernatorial contests, in which voting rights may play a big role, and which in turn could affect voting rights going forward.
Newsom Recall Drive Nears the Finish Line California Republicans will likely force a 2021 recall election with some help from COVID-19. Actually removing a Democratic governor won’t be easy.
covid-19 stimulus
Mar. 6, 2021
The COVID-19 Stimulus Bill Can Help Biden Transform Politics Some white working-class voters just want to see that government works for them, too. The relief bill could bring them back to the Democratic Party.
Democrats Shouldn’t Count On a ‘Morning In America Midterm’ Midterms are different from presidential elections, and 1984 isn’t 2022.
2020 hindsight
Mar. 3, 2021
David Shor on Why Trump Was Good for the GOP — and How Dems Can Win in 2022 The data scientist shares his latest theories on why Democrats lost Hispanic support in 2020 and what the party must do to avoid disaster in 2022.
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