Displaying all articles tagged:
Electoral College
early and often
Sept. 26, 2024
How to Think About National Polls 6 Weeks From the Election Even putting possible polling errors aside, there’s a limit to what they can tell us.
early and often
Apr. 3, 2024
Nebraska Republicans May Take the One Electoral Vote Biden Needs Most Joe Biden won a single electoral vote in Nebraska in 2020. The GOP could make that impossible in 2024, which could be crucial to the outcome.
Kamala Harris Shouldn’t Have to Save the 2024 Election If Congress fixes the Electoral Count Act now, it could reduce the odds of the vice president needing to assert powers she may not really have.
Congress Must Act Now to Stop the Next Election Coup A quick fix of the Electoral Count Act might get the crucial Republican support that voting-rights legislation failed to secure.
Trump Tried to Force DOJ to Back His 2020 Election Coup Long after the 2020 election was decided, Trump relentlessly used all the mechanisms available to the executive branch to overturn his loss.
Trump’s Delegitimization of Democracy Isn’t Wearing Off It remains unclear when — or if — Republicans will begin to accept electoral defeat again.
How Close Did We Get to an Election Coup? At several moments, Trump’s efforts to overturn Joe Biden’s victory were scarily close to success. Fortunately, he was too incompetent to pull it off.
conservatism
Jan. 4, 2021
House GOP Admits It Opposes Democracy, Not Voter Fraud House Republicans claimed that they object to affirming Biden’s victory out of concern for voter fraud. A colleague just called their bluff.
contested election
Jan. 4, 2021
Tom Cotton Breaks With Trump on Coup Attempt in Congress The Arkansan split with other presidential wannabes in warning that Trump is undermining an Electoral College that has served Republicans well.
contested election
Jan. 3, 2021
Futile Ploy to Overturn Election in Congress Divides GOP Republicans in the Senate and House are publicly at odds over a pointless plan to block the certification of Biden’s win out of loyalty to Trump.
5 Lessons About Politics for 2021 The 2020 election may be over, but it’s got lessons for the future.
Senate Overrides Trump’s Veto of National Defense Authorization Act But a last-ditch effort to increase COVID stimulus checks to $2,000 failed.
vision 2020
Dec. 15, 2020
Wisconsin Supreme Court Was One Vote Away From Flipping the State to Trump If not for a progressive justice’s upset win earlier this year, the decision could have gone the other way, costing Biden ten electoral votes.
vision 2020
Dec. 15, 2020
McConnell Finally Acknowledges Biden As President-elect It’s taken a long time, but the dam has broken, with Republican senators undermining any last-minute rebellion against the results in January.
vision 2020
Dec. 14, 2020
Electoral College Rejects Trump Coup and Confirms Biden as President It’s a routine process, but threats of violence and plans by Trump’s campaign to “elect” bogus alternative electors are raising eyebrows.
contested election
Dec. 7, 2020
Tuesday’s ‘Safe Harbor’ Deadline Should End Trump’s Failed Coup Nearly every state has certified its results and electors, which — after December 8 — should cut off further challenges.
Biden’s Vote Lead Over Trump Now More than 7 Million He’s blown-away his old boss Barack Obama’s performance, which was the best for a Democratic presidential candidate since LBJ.
vision 2020
Nov. 12, 2020
Trump’s Antics Strengthen the Case for Nationalizing Election Rules This year’s chaotic postelection environment shows how a scofflaw like Trump can exploit a decentralized and disorganized system.
contested election
Nov. 11, 2020
How Long Can Trump Keep Contesting the Election? Republicans could bring the president’s madness to an end, but there are a series of deadlines that may force the issue.
vision 2020
Oct. 19, 2020
Trump Is Running Out of Time to Change These 8 Election X-Factors Examining the remaining variables, the president is in serious trouble just two weeks ahead of his date with reelection fate.
Should We Stop Panicking About Trump Stealing the Election? The odds of a contested presidential election have dropped. But until Trump’s attacks on mail ballots are repudiated by his party, some risk remains.
vision 2020
Sept. 28, 2020
Pelosi Makes Plans for House Election of President If the Electoral College is deadlocked, the House will elect the next president under a scenario favoring Republicans that Pelosi will try to reverse.
vision 2020
Sept. 25, 2020
How Biden Can Challenge Trump on Trying to Rig the Election Biden should try to split Trump from his enablers by disclaiming an attack on the legitimacy of the Electoral College if all votes are counted.
vision 2020
Sept. 17, 2020
A Rational Case for How Trump Could Win the Election Without Stealing It Sean Trende argues Trump’s relatively high approval ratings, an improving economy, and Biden’s base problems could reelect Trump in another upset.
vision 2020
Sept. 17, 2020
Polls: Biden Maintains Electoral College Lead, But It’s Fragile Polls show a slightly eroding Biden lead nationally, but he’s in great shape unless the margin falls below 3 percent.
contested election
Sept. 16, 2020
The System for Resolving a Contested Presidential Election Is Also a Mess The two-week period in Congress in January is convoluted, depends on the good faith of the party in power, and requires lawmakers to act briskly.
vision 2020
Sept. 8, 2020
Trump Backers Make a Case for Stealing Election, Before Biden Gets the Chance Conservatives are advancing a dangerous argument, suggesting a premature Trump victory declaration may be justified by a planned Democratic coup.
vision 2020
Sept. 1, 2020
Can Florida Save Us From a Contested Presidential Election? The Sunshine State is expected to report quickly on Election Night, and if Biden has won it, the odds of Trump credibly claiming victory go down.
vision 2020
Aug. 31, 2020
Presidential Battleground States Change All the Time Ohio, Iowa, Colorado, and Virginia are recent battlegrounds that are no longer very competitive, while Florida and Wisconsin remain critical in 2020.
vision 2020
Aug. 12, 2020
The Democrats Are Almost Certainly Going to Win the Popular Vote. Again. Soon popular majorities may take radical action to disrupt minority rule maintained through anti-democratic institutions and voter suppression.
Would Biden Contest a Trump Electoral College Win? While there’s abundant evidence Trump is willing to contest an adverse election result, it’s unlikely Joe Biden would trigger a constitutional crisis.
Supreme Court Lets States Punish ‘Faithless Electors’ A unanimous Supreme Court found no constitutional sanction for treating presidential electors as free agents.
vision 2020
June 16, 2020
In Trump Years, It Feels Like Late in His Second Term The intensity of the Trump presidency may mean he is wearing out his welcome in just one term — which took Bush two terms, according to polling.
Trump Is Laying the Groundwork to Contest Any Election Loss By deeming voting-by-mail systems a way a majority of states use to rig elections, POTUS has laid a foundation to declare a close election fraudulent.
vision 2020
Apr. 24, 2020
Could State Legislatures Hijack the 2020 Presidential Election? State legislatures directly appointing electors is a more realistic scenario for a coup d’etat than Trump canceling or delaying Election Day.
vision 2020
Apr. 23, 2020
5 Reasons Pundits Will Overestimate Trump’s Odds of Winning in November Nobody wants to experience Trump gloating at their expense twice in a row.
vision 2020
Jan. 14, 2020
What Will Happen If There’s a Tie in the Electoral College? The House with each delegation casting one vote would elect the President, with Republicans likely to hold the advantage.
vision 2020
Oct. 25, 2019
Diversity Will Continue to Be Democratic Asset in 2020 Demographic trends and potentially higher Democratic margins among minorities and suburbanites could be crucial in 2020.
trump campaign
Aug. 27, 2019
Trump Campaign: ‘Remind AOC and Democrats That This Is Our Country, Not Theirs’ In a campaign email, the president defends the Electoral College on the grounds that the U.S. belongs exclusively to Republican voters.
electoral college
Aug. 21, 2019
No, Joni Ernst, Iowans Don’t Need the Electoral College to Influence Presidents It’s funny that the senator for the first-in-the-nation-caucus state thinks nobody would pay attention to Iowa if not for its six electoral votes.
vision 2020
Aug. 12, 2019
Trump’s State-by-State Approval Ratings Should Scare the MAGA Out of Him Translating Trump’s standing in the 50 states to the 2020 electoral college vote currently shows the incumbent getting trounced.
The Scary Proposition That Trump Is Gradually Becoming More Popular Yes, Trump is fairly close to his highest job approval numbers, but there’s no real evidence he’s about to bust through his ceiling.
vision 2020
July 19, 2019
electoral college
May 30, 2019
Nevada Governor Vetoes National Popular Vote Bill for Some Stupid Reason The bill “could diminish the role of smaller states like Nevada in national electoral contests,” the governor said, stupidly.
Without a Plausible ‘Theory of Change,’ Progressive Ideas Are Just Fantasies Turns out the last Democratic president didn’t have a durable idea of how to overcome Republican obstruction. The next better get one.
Birch Bayh, Liberal Lion of the Senate, Dies at 91 Bayh’s proudest accomplishment was the Title IX law banning gender discrimination in higher education. He was also chief Senate sponsor of the ERA.
As 2020 Grows Near, Democrats Could Experience Trump Reelection Panic No matter how often Democrats tell themselves that substantive issues matter most, “electability” will haunt them in choosing a nominee.
Former Maine Governor Defends Electoral College, Saying It Protects White People It’s widely understood that Republicans rely on the Electoral College to thwart democracy. But it’s unusual for one of them to admit a racial motive.
Connecticut Joins Effort to Overturn Electoral College There’s real momentum to do away with our grossly flawed system, but it’s going to be a while before anything changes.
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