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2022 Midterms
2022 midterms
Oct. 29, 2021
Can Nicholas Kristof Actually Win the Oregon Governor’s Race? The short answer is maybe. As a progressive outsider, he might be able to exploit a leadership vacuum in his native state.
Trump Can’t Lose in the Virginia Governor’s Race The 45th president can spin both a Democratic and a Republican win as reinforcing his indispensability. And the same will be true in 2022.
2022 midterms
Oct. 28, 2021
David Perdue May Primary Trump Foe Brian Kemp in Georgia It seemed Governor Kemp had outfoxed Trump, but now the former president may have reeled in a serious challenger.
Gun Guy Mark McCloskey Wants to Ban Abortions for Victims of Incestuous Rape The GOP Senate hopeful who pointed guns at protesters wants to run wild with abortion policy in Missouri, the home of Todd “Legitimate Rape” Akin.
2022 midterms
Oct. 25, 2021
National Republicans Are All In on Herschel Walker Despite some early misgivings, the GOP’s national might is lining up to support Trump’s candidate in the crucial 2022 Senate race in Georgia.
joe manchin
Oct. 21, 2021
Is Manchin Considering Quitting the Democratic Party? The West Virginian wants to issue a credible threat to Democrats to increase his leverage in negotiations over Biden’s agenda.
vision 2020
Oct. 20, 2021
2020 Was a Victory That Quietly Crushed Democrats’ Hopes Winning the White House and Congress was obviously better than losing, but many current Democratic struggles are rooted in 2020 underperformance.
2022 midterms
Oct. 18, 2021
Are Fears of 2022 Losses Driving House Democrats to Retire? Sometimes senior House members bail in anticipation of their party losing the majority. A wave of 2022 retirements could be a bad sign for Democrats.
Is It Time for Democrats to Panic About Virginia — and the Midterms? Here’s some reassurance even for Democrats who are worried Glenn Youngkin’s defeat of Terry McAuliffe for governor would foretell a 2022 disaster.
Trump Says Republicans Must Solve the Big Lie or Their Voters Won’t Vote It’s unclear how Trump’s phony fraud incidents can be solved by a party that opposes federal election legislation. But it keeps the focus on himself.
Democratic Losses in 2022 Won’t Doom Biden’s Reelection Clinton and Obama bounced back after their party’s poor midterm performances, and Biden will have the benefit of incumbency in 2024.
Why Republicans May Go All In on Parental Rights Virginia gubernatorial candidate Glenn Youngkin thinks defending parents’ rights to dictate what happens in schools appeals to swing and base voters.
Democrats Should Save Some Reconciliation Goodies for 2022 The best way to reduce the Build Back Better price tag without sacrificing initiatives is to delay the most popular ideas, like Medicare expansion.
Audit Fever Is Now Spreading to States Trump Easily Won Trump supporters are skeptical about the integrity of our elections, and they’re starting to devour their own.
kyrsten sinema
Oct. 5, 2021
Why Aren’t Democratic Senators More Vulnerable Than Sinema Playing Her Game? Somehow or other, Democratic senators in tough 2022 reelection races aren’t posturing and holding the Biden agenda hostage to show their independence.
A Manufactured Debt Limit Crisis Is a Bad Gamble for Democrats Could be a “Heads I win, tails you lose” situation for McConnell and Republicans, since Democrats will be blamed for any economic fallout.
Todd Akin Exposed the Republican Party’s Abortion Extremism Talk of “legitimate rape” from the former congressman, who died this week, led to GOP losses in 2012. Today’s Republicans could experience déjà vu.
past is prologue
Sept. 29, 2021
Biden May Bounce Back Like Other Presidents Have History shows that presidents usually get reelected unless they are unlucky, or, like Donald Trump, they work hard at alienating voters.
California Republicans’ Demonization of Voting by Mail May Backfire The state has made universal voting by mail permanent. Now Republicans must deal with the effect of Trump’s disinformation on mail ballots.
Should Democrats Gamble on Immigration Reform in 2021? If the parliamentarian lets Democrats put immigration reform in the reconciliation bill, they’ll have to choose between principle and midterm fears.
Why a Troubled Polling Industry Whiffed on the California Recall Big 2020 polling errors nationwide were followed by big 2021 polling errors in California — but in the opposite direction.
Democrats Won the California Recall, But There Are Warning Signs for Midterms Newsom matched Biden’s 2020 performance, but their party needs to do even better to claw back desperately needed House seats.
voting rights
Sept. 15, 2021
Surrendering to Republicans on Voting Rights Won’t Save Democracy Joe Manchin seems to think voting-rights reforms have to be bipartisan to work. But letting Republicans run wild won’t encourage them to compromise.
2022 midterms
Sept. 12, 2021
Democrats May Have to Change the Subject From Biden in 2022 Midterms are usually a referendum on presidents. But if Biden’s numbers don’t improve, Dems can run against Trump or GOP extremism in its many forms.
Is Biden’s Vaccine Mandate Smart Politics or ‘Civil War’? Democrats are counting on vaccinated people supporting mandates, while Republicans are freaking out in ways that may reinforce images from January 6.
Will Abortion Dominate the 2022 Midterms? It’s possible that, given the current and near-future actions of the U.S. Supreme Court, abortion could matter more than ever to pro-choice voters.
Biden’s Approval Rating Goes Underwater Biden’s stretch of unobtrusive popularity is over for now, but he is in very good company as a president with net-negative approval ratings.
The Midterms Could Give the Senate a MAGA Makeover Retirements and primary challenges could decimate the Senate’s Establishment Republicans.
u.s. supreme court
Aug. 27, 2021
Breyer’s Retirement Indecision Means Democrats Really Need to Hold the Senate Maybe Breyer will step down next year, but if he doesn’t and Republicans take back the Senate, Mitch McConnell may not let Biden name a successor.
2022 midterms
Aug. 25, 2021
Trump Favorite Herschel Walker Officially Running for U.S. Senate in Georgia Walker is arguably a carpetbagger with some extra personal baggage, but he may be better known in Georgia than incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock.
If Democrats Don’t Exploit This Trifecta, Another Could Be Far Away Democrats will probably lose their governing trifecta in 2022, and it won’t get easier in 2024 or 2026. Historically, they don’t come along often.
2022 midterms
Aug. 20, 2021
Democrats Should (Privately) Write Off 2022 and Just Govern When the deal goes down on Biden’s agenda in Congress, vulnerable Democrats should not be given bragging rights for thwarting their own party.
Biden’s Approval Ratings Slip Below 50 Percent for the First Time His worst is still better than Trump’s best, but for a president trying to defy the odds and retain Congress in the midterms, it’s not great.
Democrats in Congress Need to Cut to the Chase With a Deal on Everything It’s time for Democrats to stop threatening each other over infrastructure and reconciliation and pass Biden’s agenda, before it’s too late.
2022 midterms
Aug. 11, 2021
Raffensperger Struggles to Get Back His MAGA Street Cred Unlike Brian Kemp, Raffensperger doesn’t have the political capital or luck in opponents to survive a Trumpian purge with right-wing posturing.
2022 midterms
Aug. 2, 2021
Will Republicans Gerrymander Their Way to a House Majority? Democratic efforts to thwart the GOP’s redistricting advantage don’t look promising. But there are practical limits to mapmaking mischief.
Why Republicans Want to Keep Punishing Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger The pair are already pariahs, and ignoring Pelosi’s January 6 panel would be easier. But Republicans still want payback, and leverage over McCarthy.
Gavin Newsom Needs Democrats to Get Worried About the Recall With the California governor’s prospects suddenly looking much iffier, he must find a way to turn out complacent Democrats.
2022 midterms
July 27, 2021
Why 2022 Won’t Be Another 1994 Republican Tidal Wave Lindsey Graham’s prediction of an impending red wave ignores several key factors behind the GOP’s historic gains in Bill Clinton’s first midterm.
George P. Is Trump’s Favorite Bush, but Not His Favorite Texas AG Candidate George P. brags that he’s the only Bush the 45th president enjoys. Trump still backed his rival, MAGA loyalist Ken Paxton, in the Texas AG race.
voter suppression
July 26, 2021
J.D. Vance: How About We Give Parents Extra Votes? The Senate candidate’s trollish proposal is just the flip side of Republicans’ usual thinking on voter suppression.
voting rights
July 24, 2021
Democrats Can’t Out-Organize a Gerrymander — or Outflank Joe Manchin Voting-rights advocates shouldn’t expect Biden to do the impossible in Congress, while Biden should understand there are laws you cannot out-organize.
2022 midterms
July 23, 2021
Will Herschel Walker’s Troubled Past Keep Him Out of Georgia’s Senate Race? A report suggests the problems associated with the football legend’s history of mental illness may not be safely in the past.
Yet Another Political Scion Runs for Office in Georgia Bryan Miller, grandson of the late governor and senator Zell Miller, will try to do better than Matt Lieberman, Michelle Nunn, and Jason Carter.
vision 2024
July 21, 2021
Has Trump Spoiled the GOP for More Rational Leaders? If Trump doesn’t run in 2024, other Republican presidential contenders will have a hard time rivaling his unique demagogic appeal.
Bill Aims to Keep Trump From Becoming House Speaker Democrats could bar Trump and other nonmembers from serving as Speaker, but they may not want to draw attention to the zany proposal.
democrats in disarray
July 15, 2021
Primary Voters Should Decide the Direction of the Democratic Party Those waging factional battles over who should represent safe districts should defer to the wisdom of actual voters.
Democrats Can’t Win the Culture War With Silence Changing the subject to poll-tested economic policy issues has never dispelled Republican cultural smears in the past. It won’t now, either.
2022 midterms
July 11, 2021
2022 midterms
July 9, 2021
Paul LePage Is Running for Governor of Maine Again He’s counting on midterm backlash and an independent spoiler to beat Democrat Janet Mills. If he does, it will be seen as an omen for Trump ’24.
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