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Ed Kilgore

Columnist, Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore is a longtime political observer who has been a columnist for Intelligencer since 2015.

  1. early and often
    When Will We Know Who Won the Election? Battleground ResultsHere’s when we’re likely to get election results in the seven battlegrounds, with updated results as each swing state is called.
  2. poll position
    Final Trump vs. Harris Polls Show It’s Down to the WireAll seven battlegrounds are still in play as the presidential race comes to a close.
  3. 2024 election
    The Harris vs. Trump Races Hinges on These 3 FactorsDifferences on abortion and the economy, voter mobilization, and the candidates’ baggage will likely tip the election.
  4. early and often
    The Resurrection of Donald TrumpAn unlikely comeback nears its terrifying apex.
  5. early and often
    How Kamala Harris Got This Far Against Donald TrumpA nomination that looked improbable became inevitable.
  6. early and often
    Who Will Win Control of Congress? It’s Complicated.Barring an upset, Republicans will take the Senate, but the House is still a toss-up, and we could even see a rare triple flip.
  7. early and often
    Are the Polls Wrong Again? Why Experts Are Worried About ‘Herding’The tsunami of Trump-Harris ties may be due to something pollsters are doing to avoid embarassment.
  8. early and often
    Helping Kamala Harris, Mike Johnson Vows to Kill ObamacareThe last things Trump wants swing voters in Pennsylvania to think about are his past and future plans to wreck the health-care system.
  9. early and often
    Will Trump and Johnson’s ‘Little Secret’ Be Unveiled on January 6?There has been speculation that the Speaker plans to spearhead Trump’s efforts to overturn another election defeat. Now Trump has dropped a big hint.
  10. non-citizen voting
    Youngkin’s Virginia Voter Purge Is a Gift to TrumpWith his appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court, the governor is keeping unfounded allegations of noncitizen voting in the news ahead of Election Day.
  11. early and often
    TOPSHOT-GUATEMALA-US-POLITICS-DIPLOMACY
    Kamala Harris’s Lost Opportunity on ImmigrationThe imperative to look tough on border policy may have forfeited an opportunity to raise questions about mass deportation and its effects on citizens.
  12. past is prologue
    Michael Dukakis Riding in a Tank
    Before Harris Snub, Washington Post Refused to Endorse Doomed DukakisThe paper’s last non-endorsement helped seal Dukakis’s fate. This one says more about the Post.
  13. poll position
    Trump vs. Harris Polls Are Tied, But the Race Isn’t OverPolling averages show either candidate could win, though there’s still time for a decisive shift toward Trump or Harris.
  14. early and often
    Is Our System Strong Enough to Block Another Trump Coup Attempt?Two strongly anti-Trump writers argue we should be more confident that we can withstand another attempt to steal the election.
  15. early and often
    No title provided
    Polling Errors Won’t Necessarily Help Trump This TimeKamala Harris could benefit just as easily, as Nate Silver and Steven Kornacki recently pointed out.
  16. early and often
    Georgia Audit Exposes Trump’s Noncitizen Voting HoaxTrump claims Kamala Harris is deploying millions of illegal voters. Georgia’s Republican secretary of State showed otherwise.
  17. early and often
    House Republicans Love Tax Cuts More Than Deficit ReductionIf they win a trifecta, we’ll likely see a clash between Republicans eager to reduce revenues and their Wall Street friends fretting about debt.
  18. early and often
    Residents Cast Ballots As Early Voting Begins In Detroit
    2024 Election Could Hinge on Tiny Shifts in the ElectorateDemographic changes are why Harris is trying to consolidate gains with white college-educated voters, while Trump focuses on Black and Latino voters.
  19. early and often
    Speaker Mike Johnson and Donald Trump.
    A Scary Postelection Trump Coup ScenarioA new report highlights legal uncertainties Trump’s Supreme Court friends could resolve in his favor, along with help from House Speaker Mike Johnson.
  20. early and often
    Early Voting Looks Good for Harris But Could Be an IllusionReporting on early voting is scattered and varies greatly in the battleground states. So Harris’s national lead should be taken with a grain of salt.
  21. early and often
    4 Good Reasons Democrats Are Terrified About the 2024 ElectionIt’s not some Democratic character flaw, but a realistic assessment of the threat posed by Trump 2.0.
  22. early and often
    Catholics Not Swayed by Pope’s Criticism of Harris and TrumpPope Francis called the U.S. election a “lesser of two evils” choice between the pro-choice Harris and anti-immigrant Trump. But Catholics disagree.
  23. poll position
    Harris vs. Trump Polls: Is the Trump Vibe Shift Real?It may seem like things are shifting in Trump’s direction, but the numbers are still dead even.
  24. early and often
    Trump’s Two-Prong Strategy to Ensure He Can’t LoseTeam Trump is working to suppress the Harris vote and throw sand in the election machinery. And if that doesn’t work, election denial might.
  25. early and often
    Whitmer Doritos ‘Communion’ Shows Danger of Being Too OnlineA viral video based on a popular meme came across as sacrilegious to the unhip, who are a sizable portion of the electorate.
  26. early and often
    Trump Supporters Hold "Stop The Steal" Rally In DC Amid Ratification Of Presidential Election
    Voters Expect Trump to Deny Defeat — and Many Don’t MindA big majority of voters think Trump, but not Harris, will claim victory no matter what the results show.
  27. early and often
    Democrats Fear Jill Stein Will Spoil Everything AgainThe non-major-party vote is likely to be small this year, but as 2016 showed, every vote matters in battleground states.
  28. early and often
    US-POLITICS-VOTE-USELECTION
    We May See Another ‘Red Mirage’ on Election Night 2024Trump voters may again dominate in-person Election Day voting, giving him an early lead. That could be all he needs for a false victory claim.
  29. poll position
    Harris vs. Trump Polls Are Close, But Somebody Could Win BigAll the battleground states could go either way, and control of Congress is up in the air as well.
  30. early and often
    Why Trump Is Holding Rallies in Blue States He Can’t WinIs he being frivolous in campaigning in Colorado, California, and New York? Maybe, but there are some reasons that fit his modus operandi.
  31. early and often
    Can Nikki Haley Voters Win It for Kamala Harris?Haley voters aren’t very attracted to the Democrats, but a rising percentage really don’t want to back Trump.
  32. early and often
    2024’s House Races Are As Close As the Presidential ContestNo party has ever flipped the House while losing the White House. But we could see an unprecedented triple flip of Congress and the White House.
  33. early and often
    Why Republicans May Join Trump’s Coup This TimeThe GOP will be an unmanageable mess if he loses, which means the party may go far to help him deny defeat.
  34. poll position
    Harris vs. Trump Polls: A Rock Fight, But Kamala Has a Slight AdvantageThere’s really not much movement in the polls lately, so it may come down to the ground game, and Harris could have a small but crucial edge.
  35. early and often
    Has Kamala Harris Outfoxed Trump As the ‘Change’ Candidate?Polls show her beginning to look fresher to persuadable voters than Trump’s tired act. But that, too, could change.
  36. hurricane helene
    Donald Trump Visits Areas Affected By Hurricane Helene In Georgia
    Trump’s Politicization of Hurricane Helene Is Scandalous, Even for HimTrump and his allies are appropriating the suffering of Helene’s victims into their own preexisting narrative.
  37. early and often
    Kamala Harris Campaigns For President In Ripon, Wisconsin
    Harris and Trump Are Deploying Party Defectors Very DifferentlyHer Republican validators reinforce her claim to be closer to the mainstream than Trump. But his ex-Democrats are aiming for “I hate everyone” voters.
  38. what we know
    A List of Everything Trump Claims Is ‘Election Interference’Trump and his followers already have a big menu of options for how to justify overturning another defeat.
  39. early and often
    Will a Generic Republican Beat Tester and Flip the Senate?Once a prize recruit with a gold-plated résumé, Tim Sheehy is now mostly counting on Trump’s coattails in the race that may decide Senate control.
  40. early and often
    Oklahoma Wants a Trump Bible in Every Public-School ClassroomFor state school superintendent Ryan Walters, not any old Bible will do for the edification of Oklahoma’s children.
  41. early and often
    Trump Is the Only Presidential-Election Loser Who Denied Being a LoserJ.D. Vance claims Democrats, especially Hillary Clinton, have denied defeat as well. But actually, Trump stands alone in refusing to concede.
  42. early and often
    How Will Hurricane Helene Affect This Wildly Close Election?Barring Katrina levels of government incompetence, Helene hit long enough before Election Day to mitigate much of the political fallout.
  43. early and often
    Snap Polls Show VP Debate Was As Close As the Presidential RaceWith no clear winner and no big viral moments, the debate will simply confirm a very close presidential contest.
  44. early and often
    Weirdly Civil VP Debate Won’t Change Many MindsVance and Walz each scored some important points, but what was most striking is that they didn’t go after each other with claw hammers.
  45. early and often
    What J.D. Vance and Tim Walz Need to Do in the VP DebateVice-presidential debates are rarely game changers, but in this close race, both candidates will need to tread carefully.
  46. early and often
    Trump Calls for ‘Nasty’ Day of Violence to Stop Imaginary Crime WaveHe keeps getting away with terrible lies compounded by incitements to violence, as his supporters claim he’s just joking.
  47. early and often
    The Problem With Predicting a Harris LandslideThe data shows a very close race, and acknowledging that isn’t some cowardly gift to Trump.
  48. early and often
    Voters Have Barely Moved in This Wild Presidential ElectionComparing 2024 to other recent presidential contests, what’s amazing is how little voter preferences have changed.
  49. early and often
    Will Trump Make Another Premature Victory Claim in 2024?He could try to exploit an Election Night lead on Kamala Harris. But this year, the “red mirage” may be weaker than it was in 2020.
  50. early and often
    J.D. Vance Embraces Trump’s Scary Christian Nationalist FansThe very Catholic veep prospect will join hands with Protestant spiritual warriors like Lance Wallnau in fighting the demonic Kamala Harris.
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