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Electability

  1. early and often
    DeSantis Is Losing His Electability Advantage Over TrumpThe DeSantis campaign has been making aggressive assertions that he’d do better against Joe Biden. Polls show GOP voters don’t buy it.
    By Ed Kilgore
  2. vision 2020
    Was Joe Biden the Most Electable Democrat After All?We’ll never know if one of Biden’s rivals might have done better in 2020. But his narrow win suggests Democrats need to build a stronger coalition.
    By Ed Kilgore
  3. vision 2020
    Can Democrats Force Joe Biden Off of the Ticket?With Tara Reade’s allegations now front and center, Biden skeptics are speculating about pushing him out of the nomination, but it wouldn’t be easy.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. vision 2020
    Is Your Candidate ‘Nominatable’?We’re at a point in the Democratic presidential contest where voters need to decide who has a realistic path to the nomination.
    By Ed Kilgore
  5. vision 2020
    Could a Youth-Vote Surge Offset Bernie’s Vulnerabilities in November?So far the evidence isn’t there that Sanders is creating some big youth-turnout surge. He could win anyway, but not by disdaining regular Democrats.
    By Ed Kilgore
  6. vision 2020
    Why There Is No Democratic ‘Never Bernie’ MovementNo Democrats think of Sanders and Trump as remotely equivalent, so supporting the former over the latter is a no-brainer, policy disagreements aside.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. vision 2020
    If There’s an Anybody-But-Bernie Movement, Who Will Lead It?There are already alarms going up about Bernie Sanders sweeping the first three 2020 contests. But late-primary challenges don’t seem to work.
    By Ed Kilgore
  8. vision 2020
    Is Warren Still a Viable Unity Candidate?She lost altitude as she got hit from left and center on Medicare for All, and old electability fears returned. But she can begin a comeback in Iowa.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. vision 2020
    The Secret to Joe Biden’s (Hypothetical) ElectabilityThanks to his idiosyncratic career arc, Biden boasts strong support from black voters and whites who resent the political power of black voters.
    By Eric Levitz
  10. vision 2020
    For Klobuchar, It’s an Iowa Surge or ElseAfter a solid debate performance, she badly needs to catch one of the top-four candidates in Iowa.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. vision 2020
    Welcome to the Electability PrimaryA look at the major candidates’ various ways of assuring voters they’ve got what it takes to win.
    By Ed Kilgore
  12. vision 2020
    Overconfident Trump Backers Ignore Key Lesson From 2016Belief in Hillary Clinton’s inevitability hurt her 2016 campaign. Now Republicans may be making the same mistake.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. vision 2020
    Bullock, Sestak Drop Out of 2020 Presidential RaceBullock had a great electability argument. But he got into the race late and then failed to make enough of a mark.
    By Ed Kilgore
  14. vision 2020
    There’s Still No Clear Case for Bloomberg’s ElectabilityOne scenario has a Democratic Party panicking and nominating a billionaire they don’t particularly like who isn’t particularly electable.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. vision 2020
    Could Pete Buttigieg Actually Become President?Mayor Pete’s minority voter problem is still a big obstacle to his “nominatability.” But as the nominee he could be the un-Trump.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. vision 2020
    Buttigieg’s Electability Argument: Only Young Outsiders Win for DemocratsMayor Pete is comparing himself to past winners Carter, Clinton, and Obama, which is clever but not exactly a slam-dunk argument.
    By Ed Kilgore
  17. vision 2020
    Joe Biden’s Fringe Views on Marijuana Could Get Trump ReelectedBiden’s anti-legalization stance may play well with nanny-state activists. But swing voters want to get big government’s hands off their bongs.
    By Eric Levitz
  18. vision 2020
    Three Years Later, Trump Has Lost the Element of SurpriseMemories of the shock of Election Night 2016 could become a strategic asset for Democrats, who sure won’t get over-confident in 2020.
    By Ed Kilgore
  19. vision 2020
    The Emerging Anybody-But-Warren CampaignAs Elizabeth Warren becomes more popular, claims that her nomination would throw the election to Trump — or even wreck the economy — are spreading.
    By Ed Kilgore
  20. vision 2020
    Biden’s Electability Advantage Will Be Hard to ShakeMost factors voters use to measure electability give Joe Biden an advantage, and Democrats are not in the mood to gamble on the 2020 outcome.
    By Ed Kilgore
  21. ‘electability’
    Joe Biden Sounded Like a Very Broken Record at the DebateThursday night saw some of his most incomprehensible answers yet, including a long aside about addressing systemic racism with record players.
    By Bridget Read
  22. vision 2020
    Warren Continues to Emerge As a Potential Democratic Unity FigureWarren continues to bill herself as a strong progressive without Bernie Sanders’s or Joe Biden’s intraparty enemies.
    By Ed Kilgore
  23. vision 2020
    How Would An Economic Downturn Affect the 2020 Democratic Contest?Democrats might look for an inspiring or reassuring figure–or might have to reason to worry less about electability.
    By Ed Kilgore
  24. vision 2020
    Trump’s Misogynistic Triumph: Democrats Are Afraid to Nominate a WomanDemocrats’ assumption that swing voters share Trump’s misogyny has led them to sexist thinking about “electability.”
    By Ed Kilgore
  25. vision 2020
    Is Joe Biden the Democrats’ Version of Mitt Romney?The comparison is tempting, but misleading.
    By Ed Kilgore
  26. vision 2020
    Surging in Polls, Elizabeth Warren Now Has a Path to the NominationShe’s got a long way to go, but for the first time, there is a plausible scenario for Warren to get a one-on-one competition with Biden and win.
    By Ed Kilgore
  27. vision 2020
    Joe Biden Is Fighting Complacency As 2020 Front-RunnerAfter losing some ground, the former veep is showing new aggressiveness. If he keeps it up in the second debate in Detroit, he could regain his mojo.
    By Ed Kilgore
  28. vision 2020
    Is ‘Doing the Right Thing’ Worth Increasing the Risk of a Second Trump Term?With respect to a doomed impeachment drive, or selecting an iffy 2020 candidate, Democrats need a sober look at the consequences of risky behavior.
    By Ed Kilgore
  29. vision 2020
    The Case for Biden’s ‘Electability’ Fades Under ScrutinyThe more you examine the reasons Democrats desperate to beat Trump think Biden’s the one, the more fragile the arguments look.
    By Ed Kilgore
  30. vision 2020
    Sanders Suggests Warren Is Surging in the Polls Because She’s a WomanSanders is treading on thin ice in stressing electability arguments in his rivalry with Elizabeth Warren.
    By Ed Kilgore
  31. vision 2020
    Democrats Think Older White Man Is Best Bet to Beat TrumpBiden and Sanders’s strong position in early 2020 polls is likely related to perceptions that, based on 2016, candidate diversity may be too risky.
    By Ed Kilgore
  32. vision 2020
    Slowly and Persistently, Elizabeth Warren Is On the RiseIf the 2020 hopeful can avoid getting sideswiped by a fast-moving dark horse candidate, she’s in decent shape to challenge Sanders and Biden.
    By Ed Kilgore
  33. vision 2020
    Democrats, Don’t Forget How ‘Unelectable’ Trump Looked 4 Years AgoThose fixated on Democratic candidates’ “electability” should think about how the president they are trying to defeat appeared back in 2015.
    By Ed Kilgore
  34. vision 2020
    Two More Long Shots, Bullock and Bennet, to Join Vast 2020 Presidential FieldTwo moderate Westerners with solid résumés but little national name ID are joining the already 20-strong field, with no clear path to victory.
    By Ed Kilgore
  35. vision 2020
    Democrats Don’t Have to Choose Between Base and Swing VotersThose who oppose paying some attention to white working-class voters are asking the party to make a false choice.
    By Ed Kilgore
  36. vision 2020
    Why Trump Will Be an Underdog in the 2020 ElectionThere are a lot of moving parts in Election 2020, but at this point Trump remains a loudly growling underdog.
    By Ed Kilgore
  37. vision 2020
    Biden’s Strategy for Winning the 2020 Nomination: No Early StumblesBiden can campaign as a unity candidate, or as the leader of a “moderate” faction. But he has no margin of error.
    By Ed Kilgore
  38. vision 2020
    What Do Democrats Mean by ‘Electability’?Some think centrists are more electable, and some think it’s progressives, minority candidates, or those good at telling “narratives.”
    By Ed Kilgore
  39. vision 2020
    Has Joe Biden Lost His Ability to Unite Democrats?If elite progressive concerns about Biden spread to actual Democratic voters, his status as a potential unity candidate could be seriously damaged.
    By Ed Kilgore
  40. vision 2020
    Joe Biden May Be Less Electable Than He LooksWhen voters are presented with negative information about both Biden and Trump, the Democrat’s advantage disappears, according to a new poll.
    By Eric Levitz
  41. vision 2020
    As 2020 Grows Near, Democrats Could Experience Trump Reelection PanicNo matter how often Democrats tell themselves that substantive issues matter most, “electability” will haunt them in choosing a nominee.
    By Ed Kilgore
  42. 2020 elections
    Elizabeth Warren and the Democrats’ 2020 Electability DilemmaIn 2016 Democrats learned that polls can get an election wrong. But they won’t be able to resist maximizing their chances of beating Donald Trump.
    By Ed Kilgore
  43. Democrats Need an Unbreakable Presidential Candidate in 2020Forget “electability,” which is often hard to measure. Democrats should focus on uniting behind a 2020 candidate with no big weaknesses.
    By Ed Kilgore